Friday, September 17, 2004

Heres a thought for you, ten years ago (or maybe 15 if you really want to be sure) few of us had mobile phones, lap top computers (or those that we did have had the weight of a baby elephant and burnt a hole in the desk), cars were not stuffed full of microchips, cds were pretty cool, mp3 was an obscure piece of compression code, DVDs were the next big thing (yeah, right we said) and the effects in terminator (either one) were cutting edge. Now, think of this. Going further back, before us Generation Xers, our parents thought the humble tape a revolution, the transistor radio amazing and the mass production of the car astounding. Where am I going with this. Well, in ten or 15 years time mobile phones will not exist, none of us will carry lap tops and familar technology, just as in our parents time, will have changed beyond all recognition. This is the way things work, mobile phones will become smaller and smaller until we can place them inside our bodies, computers will have become completely commoditised and things like washing machines, microwaves and ovens will have ceased be commonplace because other technologies will have replaced them. They are just tools, and when we have self cleaning clothes and food which heats itself, they will be moved to the history books. Further, things we totally take for granted, like microsoft windows, html, the internet, petrol and film may have been completely replaced and rendered archiac. My point is this (somewhat based off a recent guru's lecture) that we (and certainly me) tend to base our idea of the future on what the present feels like. It will be completely different, even in the short space of 10 years. And if that doesn't seem realistic remember 10 years ago, 1994, we'd only just characterised stem cells, pentium I was pretty damn fast and the human genome was just a bunch of poorly understood letters.

nighty night.



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